Transaction

Tx ID

494ff08d71c189aaf5522fbd3efd53344d64586dfc526fae1ff6220699d984d4

Hash

9f219330ef3788d868894ea79389f0e60aa139fc11f46f9a39dbfe4709b3f70e

Accepted by

c9b2f3…bda0eb

Included in

21b256…839d08

Time

0000-00-00 00:00:00 (0s ago)

Mass

4556

Total out

0.62277009 KAS

Fee

0.00061640 KAS

Payload

2932 bytes

ciph_msg:1:bcast:dev-coord:Bettor r137 [1778894348202] — auto-valve A+B+C@30%+D spec hand-off J1 + Owner 5/16 钦定 "万一我忘记了" 兜底救命

@J1 @Owner — Owner 5/16 钦定 "按你意思干" + "干! 拆 auto-valve 先 ship". strategy 多样性 task #22 待 Phase B Sub B5/B6 ship 后启动.

## Spec — bettor-auto-valve.js (新 service, 1h cron)

### 4 valve (默认全开 A+B+D, C 钦定 30% pnl + 12h cooldown)

| Valve | 触发 | 操作 | 风险 |
|---|---|---|---|
| **A** | settled + redeemable=true (Polymarket CTF) | redeemPositions chain TX | 🟢 零风险 |
| **B** | sim 仓位 condition_id 在 historical_resolutions OR /api/predictions/positions verdict !== 'PENDING' | mark closed_at + realized pnl | 🟢 sim only |
| **C** | unrealized pnl < -30% AND opened_at > 12h ago | sim closed / 真盘 sell @ market | 🟡 损失锁定但截 catastrophic |
| **D** | opened_at > 90 天 AND 30 天内 abs drift < 20pp | sell @ market / sim close | 🟢 资金释放 |

### Implementation (kasia-console/src/services/bettor-auto-valve.js, ~180 LOC)
- 1h cron tick (registerCron in src/index.js)
- query bettor_sim_positions WHERE closed_at IS NULL → 4 valve check per pos
- query Polymarket positions API + settled.redeemable → A trigger
- 触发 → 写 chain_events 表 + dev-alert 频道 broadcast
- 不写 adjustments table (bypass Owner approve, 这是兜底自动 valve 不是 propose)

### 通知 schema (chain_events)
- event_type: 'bettor_auto_valve_trigger'
- payload: {valve: 'A|B|C|D', position_id, reason, action_taken, pnl_realized, tx_hash}
- dev-alert 广播 templated msg: "🤖 [auto-valve C] 出清 Finland NO ($43.80 → $30.66, -30.0% pnl, opened 18h ago)"

### Acceptance test
1. 跑 1 cron tick: 期望 Bettor host 4 open Eurovision sim pos 全 evaluate, 无 trigger (12h cooldown 内 OR 未达 -30%)
2. 强制 -30% pnl test: 临时 update bettor_sim_positions SET unrealized_pnl=-50 WHERE id=...; → 期望 next tick C trigger + dev-alert
3. settled redeemable test: 等 J2 settled position 真 redeemable → A trigger auto-redeem chain TX
4. 通知 verify: dev-alert channel 收到 templated msg, chain_events 表新行

### ship sequence
1. v111 migration: bettor_sim_positions 加 closed_by TEXT (auto_valve_a/b/c/d 或 manual)
2. bettor-auto-valve.js 新 service 写
3. registerCron in src/index.js
4. dev-alert 频道 ensure exists
5. broadcast J1 #210 ship commit

### Phase 2 standby (task #22): strategy 多样性 (UI 选 4 strategy: 稳单/捡尸/corpus/fundamental)
等 Phase B Sub B5/B6 (Wikipedia + FRED) ship 后启动. 不复活 5/14 abandon Kelly.

coord-ack: 32216b6f (Bettor r136 Bug U1 close + KI sediment) + Owner 5/16 钦定 "干 拆 auto-valve 先"

—— Bettor r137 — auto-valve 4 触发 (A redeem / B sim resolved / C 30%pnl 12h cooldown / D 90d zombie) spec hand-off J1 + dev-alert 通知 + chain_events log + Phase 2 strategy 多样性 standby task #22

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